Diamondbacks Retain Aaron Hill

  • It was clear, at least at first, the initial purchase of Aaron Hill by the Arizona Diamondbacks was a short term move. With Kelly Johnson floundering, Kirk Gibson needed a different option at second base. Hills fresh face was just what the doctor ordered: he would will continue to hit .315/.386/.492 in 33 games using the Diamondbacks and Darryl Morris Jersey key their surge well beyond the Bay area Giants for that NL West Championship.

    Still, the Diamondbacks were by no means prepared to commit the $8 million on Hills choice for 2012 after all, regardle s of the late-season resurgence, Hill continues to be coming off wOBAs of .291 and .292 respectively. Late Sunday night, the Diamondbacks and the 30-year-old Hill managed to find a amount of money that works for both sides. With a new two-year, $11 billion dollar contract, Hill will remain a Diamondback with the 2013 Hakeem Nicks Jersey season.

    For a starting second baseman (or a starting anything, really) a sociated with a quality, $5.5 million per season is commonly a steal. The Diamondbacks are just paying for the market worth of about one marginal win. Shockingly enough, even in Hills two recent down years, he has combined for exactly two Wins Above Replacement.

    Of course, you need to purchase the idea of Hill as an average-to-good fielder (+4.4 UZR within the 2 yrs) to accept that valuation. Some basic research other defensive metrics, team writer opinions (like this one), some highlights tell me this can be a fair a sumption to create.

    Even if Hills resurgence this past year Donald Brown Jersey was just a desert mirage, Arizona should get something resembling market value out of this new contract. They could be in for a genuine treat should Hill rediscover the times of 2007 or 2009. In those seasons he hit a combined 53 home runs for Toronto, compiling 23 batting runs excellent. Those seasons were truly something for Hill. Observe:

    Click to see the entire interactive chart.

    Outside of 2007 and 2009, certainly one of either BABIP or ISO have conspired to keep Hills bat at or underneath the league average. In 2010, it was a harsh, utterly unsustainable .198 BABIP which resulted in his collapse. In 2011, things predictably recovered as a 10.6% line drive rate became a 21.2% line drive rate, however the power deserted him once more. Perhaps Hill needed to sacrifice some of a swing-for-the-fences mentality to be able to regain a singles stroke, Frank Gore Jersey however a drop from 26 home runs to eight will make improvement difficult in any case.

    Hill his been a comparatively low-walk, low-strikeout guy (fitting into the Kirk Gibson-Kevin Towers mold) his whole career, however the one constant from 2008 through 2011 continues to be an absurdly high infield fly rate. At Rashaan Melvin Jersey 13.2%, Hills IFFB% ranks 25th of 197 players with 1,500 plate appearances since 2008.

    This helps explain his .260 BABIP over the period. Only five of the 24 players ranked ahead of Hill have BABIPs over .300. Troy Tulowitzki and Justin Upton have an excellent quantity of pop, and Rajai Davis and Carlos Gomez both have elite speed. Another is Johnny Damon, for whom there is little explanation except that he has done this his whole career.

    Hill will have to limit the pop-ups before we are able to begin to project coming back to his best form. As a result, the odds of the Diamondbacks rediscovering the borderline All-Star Aaron Hill that used nowhere Jays seems minimal. Still, Hill is much more than capable of outplaying his contract should he rediscover his power. In the nothing from the desert, Hills pop could easily rise again he's Tarell Basham Jersey all one season taken off a stretch of 66 home runs in 2 seasons.

    Even if he stays a singles-hitting, semi-slick second baseman, the Diamondbacks should get what they taken care of. All-in-all, a prudent change from Kevin Towers using the po sibility to pay dividends.